BIG MARLEY’S UFC 226 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

There’s a good deal of cash to be won this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the primary tournament. I will be going heavier than usual this week chasing the significant GPP prizes, and that I will play less money games than usual. Here is the first time we have seen a $30k top prize, therefore I believe it is worth chasing in the event that you have the bankroll to get it. We did lose the co-main event with Max Holloway pulling out of the struggle against Brian Ortega, thus we are now down to 11 battles and we ought to see a great deal of ties with this card with all the popular lineups. If you are pursuing that $30K then you will want to attempt to be a bit different with your lineup so you can distinguish yourself from the rest of the area. That said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy in addition to my fade of the week. Cash Game play of this week — Paul Felder ($7,400) The DK pricing with this fight is far off from the gambling line. On DK, Felder is $1,400 less than his opponent, Mike Perry. On the gambling line, Felder is your -150 favorite. That is just too much line worth to pass in money games and that makes Felder the”free square” this week. Even if he loses this fight, he must be highly owned it won’t even damage your lineup in cash games. In GPP’s, Felder will be among the highest owned fighters on the card and if he loses there then it could kill your lineup, so maybe consider avoiding the chalk there if you can. But with that crazy line value we are getting here, Paul Felder is the easy pick for the cash game play of this week. GPP play of this week — Mike Perry ($8,800) Ok, I know this seems a bit weird since I literally just picked Paul Felder as my money play of the week, but hear me out. In cash games, we don’t care about ownership. In case Felder is 90% owned in cash games, then it will not damage your lineup because only 10 percent of lineups didn’t possess him and you merely have to be top ~50 percent of the area to cash in money games. In GPPs, I am imagining Felder will probably be over 50% owned. When he loses, that’s half of the area that’s dead with no shot at winning 1st place. Mike Perry on the other hand will be less than 20% owned, and closer to 10% simply due to this mispriced line. If Felder loses and kills off 50% of lineups, then you also get a win with the low owned man to put you in a much better location of a solo 1st place win and maybe hitting $30k. Perry has the capability to KO anyone and Paul Felder is taking this fight on short notice in a weight class above his division. Can it really shock you much if Perry could KO him in this battle? In GPPs, we are looking for that boom or bust drama and that’s Mike Perry this week making him my GPP play of this week. Underdog drama of this week — Anthony Pettis ($7,600) Anthony Pettis would have been a -500 favorite over Michael Chiesa if this fight took place 5 decades before, but today we get a evaporating Pettis as an underdog and $1,000 cheaper than Chiesa on DraftKings. I think Pettis can keep this battle standing for most the struggle which should give him a big edge. He is also dangerous on the ground himself and when he’s taken I believe he is going to have the ability to get back up if he isn’t able to get a entry of his own. In case Pettis can acquire a determination then I presume he will pay his off DK price tag and will be a good underdog to use so you can save salary in your lineups. I can also see this battle ending early from Pettis dropping Chiesa using a body kick and if that happens he will likely be on the winning lineup when he can make it happen in around 1. Fade of this week — Rafael Assuncao ($9,100) At $9.1k, I have zero interest in Assuncao this weekend. I do think that he wins the struggle, but I don’t see him paying off that large price . He doesn’t fight at a hefty rate and he has not gotten a takedown in his last 4 wins as well as the floor is where he’ll have his biggest advantage in this matchup. In those previous 4 wins, Assuncao has not scored over 78 DK points and in his salary this week I want at least 91 points from him to pay that much. I would rather pay up for the guys higher priced than Assuncao, or even go down to Vannata or Miocic. I will have 20 lineups this weekend and Assuncao will probably be in 0 of them, making him my fade of this week. Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 on this link below: http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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BIG MARLEY’S UFC 226 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

There’s a good deal of money to be won this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the main tournament. I will be going thicker than normal this week chasing the significant GPP prizes, and I will play less money games than usual. This is actually the first time we’ve seen a 30k top prize, therefore I believe it is well worth chasing if you’ve got the bankroll for it. We did lose the co-main event with Max Holloway pulling from this struggle against Brian Ortega, thus we’re now down to 11 battles and we should see a great deal of ties on this card with all the popular lineups. If you’re pursuing that $30K then you will want to try and be a little different with your lineup so you can distinguish yourself from the rest of the field. With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy in addition to my fade of the week. Cash Game play of the week — Paul Felder ($7,400) The DK pricing on this fight is way off from the gambling line. On DK, Felder is $1,400 less than his competitor, Mike Perry. On the betting line, Felder is your -150 favorite. That’s just too much line worth to pass on in money games which makes Felder the”free square” this week. Even if he loses this battle, he must be highly owned it will not even hurt your lineup in money games. In GPP’s, Felder will be one of the highest owned fighters on the card and when he loses there then it could kill your lineup, so maybe think about preventing the chalk there if you can. However, with this crazy line value we’re getting here, Paul Felder is the easy pick for the money game play of the week. GPP play of this week — Mike Perry ($8,800) Ok, I know this sounds a little weird since I just chose Paul Felder because my money play of this week, but hear me out. In cash games, we don’t care about possession. If Felder is 90% owned in cash games, then it will not damage your lineup since only 10% of lineups didn’t have him and you only need to be top ~50 percent of the area to cash in cash games. In GPPs, I am guessing Felder will be over 50% possessed. When he loses, that is half of the area that is dead with no shot at winning 1st location. Mike Perry on the other hand will be less than 20% owned, and maybe closer to 10% just because of the mispriced line. If Felder kills and loses off 50% of lineups, then you also get a win using the low owned man to set you at a much better location of a solo 1st place win and possibly hitting $30k. Perry has the power to KO anybody and Paul Felder is taking this fight on short notice in a weight class above his division. Can it really shock you much if Perry could KO him? In GPPs, we are interested in finding that boom or bust drama and that is Mike Perry this week which makes him my GPP play of this week. Underdog play of the week — Anthony Pettis ($7,600) Anthony Pettis would have been a -500 favorite over Michael Chiesa if this struggle happened 5 decades before, but today we get a evaporating Pettis as an underdog and $1,000 cheaper than Chiesa on DraftKings. I think Pettis can continue to keep this battle standing for many the fight which will give him a huge edge. He is also dangerous on the ground himself and if he’s taken down I think he is going to be able to get back up if he isn’t able to get a entry of his own. In case Pettis can acquire a determination then I presume he will pay off his DK price tag and is going to be a fantastic underdog to utilize so it is possible to conserve salary in your lineups. I can even see this fight ending from Pettis dropping Chiesa with a human body kick and if that happens he will probably be on the winning lineup if he could make it happen in around 1. Fade of this week — Rafael Assuncao ($9,100) At $9.1k, I have zero interest in Assuncao this weekend. I really do think that he wins the fight, but I don’t find him paying that large price tag. He doesn’t fight at a heavy pace and he has not gotten a takedown in his past 4 wins and the floor is where he’ll have his main advantage in this matchup. In those previous 4 wins, Assuncao has not scored over 78 DK points and in his wages this week I want at least 91 points from him to pay that much. I would rather cover the guys higher priced than Assuncao, or go down to Vannata or Miocic. I will have at least 20 lineups this weekend and Assuncao will be in 0 of these, making him my fade of this week. Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 on this link below: http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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