BIG MARLEY’S UFC 231 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card with two name struggles in Toronto, Canada. We’re back to having PPV sized competitions on DraftKings this week and there are some solid GPPs to pursue this week. The most important GPP is a $10 entrance using $25,000 to 1st place. These are always my favourite competitions to pursue so I will be shooting some shots at that. Other than that, I’ll stick to my 3-entry maximum & solitary entry GPPs. I will also be picking up H2Hs through the week and that I will find a fantastic quantity of play in games. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this week as well as my fade of the week: Money Game play of this week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800) JJ might be the simplest money game punt of all time at $6.8k. The line for Fight Goes To Decision is currently -195 and if we’re getting 5-rounds out of JJ using the striking volume she puts out then we’ve got a solid flooring there and it doesn’t matter if she loses or wins. At that price tag she lets you cover up for a few heavy favorites and if we can get 4 other spots to win with a ~40-point reduction from JJ in our lineup then we will be sitting very pretty in our money games this weekend. GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($8,800) Fight Does Not Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -495 for this battle. The most probable outcome is that someone in this fight gets hauled out within 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes in one 10-point dip down. If that may be in the 1st round, then you are currently at 100-points even if it is merely the 1st punch/kick of the evening. At $8.8k that is more than sufficient to offer you a chance at 1st place in a GPP. Thiago is your favorite in this fight and Manuwa is 38-years old now, so that he can’t have much time in the match left. I think we function together with the favored here and toss him into our GPP lineups and await the fireworks. Underdog drama of the week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300) Matthew Lopez is my underdog of this week due to his wrestling/grappling potential. In addition, I believe he’s a underdog here. Lopez lost his last 2 fights by knockout, so that’s really what I’d worry about most with him Brad Katona is most likely the better striker of both but he’s never knocked anybody out, so I think we’ve got a solid flooring here at $7.3k even though this struggle does stay standing because I do not watch Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is most likely the better wrestler of the two though and I think he lands several takedowns in this fight and may win a decision with a wrestling-heavy game plan. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns each 15-minutes in a 57 percent accuracy, and when he’s becoming bogged up on the toes I’m sure he is going to be going for even greater than this. At $7.3k I believe Lopez makes for a good play in all formats and that I believe he gets a split decision win here since the street underdog. Fade of this week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700) I’m fading a couple of fighters this week personally, but the person I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It is not that I don’t think she can win, since she for sure can, and I think she does. However, I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a triumph. I think we would need a finish from her in this struggle to get 10x that wages and I believe that is very unlikely to take place. Or, she’ll want FightMetric to count all her screams as significant strikes. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points and that was contrary to Irene Aldana who places a much greater pace than Jessica Eye does. Even though she could get 83-points here afterward still would not be enough here to put her at the winning lineup at her 8.7k price tag. I think if you’re making 20 or less lineups this Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she’s a triumph it shouldn’t hurt much. Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each struggle on the card and also provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 on this link below:

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BIG MARLEY’S UFC 231 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card with two title fights in Toronto, Canada. We are back to using PPV sized competitions on DraftKings this week and there are some strong GPPs to pursue this week. The main GPP is a $10 entry with $25,000 to 1st place. These are always my favourite contests to chase so I will be taking some shots in that. Aside from that, I’ll adhere to my 3-entry max & single entry GPPs. I’ll also be picking up H2Hs throughout the week and that I will get a good amount of play in cash games. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of this week: Money Game play of the week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800) JJ may be the simplest money game punt of all time in $6.8k. The lineup for Fight Goes To Conclusion is now -195 and when we’re getting 5-rounds out of JJ using all the striking volume she puts out then we have a good floor there and it doesn’t matter whether she wins or loses. At that cost she lets you pay up for a few heavy favorites and when we can get 4 other spots to win using a ~40-point reduction from JJ in our lineup then we will be sitting very pretty in our money games this weekend. GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($8,800) Fight Doesn’t Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -495 with this battle. The most probable outcome is that someone in this fight gets hauled out in 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes at least one 10-point knock down. If that can be from the 1st round, then you’re already at 100-points even if it is just the 1st punch/kick of the evening. At $8.8k that is more than enough to offer you a chance at 1st place in a GPP. Thiago is the favorite in this fight and Manuwa is 38-years old today, so that he can’t have a lot of time at the match left. I think we role with the favored here and toss into our GPP lineups and wait for the fireworks. Underdog play of the week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300) Matthew Lopez is my underdog of the week due to his wrestling/grappling potential. I also think he’s a live underdog here. Lopez dropped his last 2 fights by knockout, so that is really what I would worry about most with him Brad Katona is probably the better striker of both but he has never knocked out anybody, so I think we’ve got a good floor here at $7.3k even though this fight does stay standing because I do not see Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is most likely the better wrestler of the two though and I think he lands multiple takedowns in this fight and can win a decision using a wrestling-heavy game plan. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns each 15-minutes at a 57% precision, and if he’s getting pieced up on the feet I am certain that he is going to be going for much greater than that here. At $7.3k I believe Lopez makes for a solid play in most formats and I believe he has a split decision win here since the street underdog. Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700) I’m fading a few fighters this week , but the individual I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I don’t think she can win, since she for sure could, and I believe she does. But I do not see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I believe we would need a complete from her in this fight to get 10x that salary and I think that’s very unlikely to happen. Or, she’ll want FightMetric to count all her screams as significant strikes. The maximum Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight so far in her career is 83 DK points which was contrary to Irene Aldana who places a much greater rate than Jessica Eye does. Even if she could get 83-points here afterward that still would not be enough here to place her in the winning lineup at her $8.7k price tag. I think if you’re earning 20 or less lineups that Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and when she gets a triumph it shouldn’t hurt much. Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each struggle on the card and also give my entire DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my select predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 on this link below:

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