BIG MARLEY’S UFC 236 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card in Atlanta. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a lot of cash from this week and that I can’t wait to chase these big prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will attempt to receive my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will likely have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of play into money games.
With that said, let us get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the very first thing I did when wages were published. I put both of these fighters in my cash lineup and I started building out there. I expect this to be among the greatest fights of all time and that I believe we get ~200 complete DK points from this struggle, and the guaranteed win. I am ok with taking the reduction when I can guarantee myself over 100 issues together with the pile, but I think 150 is a secure projection for this struggle and if we can lock up 3 other wins we should win the majority of our cash games. Like I always saywe don’t need 6 wins for cash games so there’s actually no need to chase it. Just lock in a secure lineup which you think will score over 400 total points and you should win more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP drama of this week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP play of the week because he is the definition of boom or bust. He either loses or scores more than 100 DK points. That’s what we want in GPPs. This is not a sure choice in him winning it is just a shot at his ceiling that is what we search for in the huge GPPs where we are attempting to win the top $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his own wins and he has just seen the 3rd around once in his career. This is a great struggle to target on either side, but I am taking Krylov to get the win and that I have a fantastic amount of exposure to this weekend.
Underdog play of the week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I needed to place Poirier here. I adore his floor and I believe he’s a live underdog. However, IF he wins, he will 100 percent end up on the 1st place lineup at his $7.1k price-tag. He is going to score over 100 DK points if he is able to find a success here and that is what we are pursuing in GPPs. Even if you think Max is going to dominate Poirier I think you should possess at least 1 hedge lineup using Poirier, and this can be an all-in fight for me. Every lineup I construct will start with Dustin or Max and I will go on out there. Load up with this battle and make sure you find any Poirier exposure.
Fade of this week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was tough to select a fade of this week this week since I think you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to pick a popular though and I think that the favorite with among those reduced ceilings is Salmon. I’m picking him to win but he won’t be heading for any takedowns and if he does not get a finish that he probably does not pay off his $8.6k price . I want at least 10x (86-points) when I’m rostering someone and I really don’t see him getting that unless he gets a knockout. Taha is hard so that I really don’t observe the knockout happening. I think Salmon does get a unanimous decision win here but it probably scores in the 70’s and that will not win us the large $30k. That’s why he’s my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I’m 66-41 for +220.23u (+$22,023) because May 19th on Premium Plays)