BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 134 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend we have an early card Sunday morning (10:30am ET). I really do like these ancient cards so that I can wake up and have a DraftKings perspiration and then go out and revel in the rest of the day once the fights are over. This Sunday’s card will occur in Hamburg, Germany and there are plenty of fighters making their UFC debut. Because of this, I believe we ought to have a large edge this week should we put in the job. Most casual players won’t be doing research on these names they have never heard and will just be throwing in lineups trying to get lucky and hit on a big score. I’ll be pursuing the large $15k top prize in the $8 GPP in addition to the Qualifiers. The majority of my investment will be in money games, mainly H2Hs, but I’ll be taking multiple shots at those big prizes. Here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack (Anthony Smith $8,700 AND Shogun Rua $7,500)
It’s a tough card that Sunday and I believe we’ll see a good deal of people making mistakes in money games. Whenever I think I can guarantee a total 100+ points in a struggle, I love to stack it into my money games and lock those factors. I think this battle is going to be a fun one and I highly doubt it belongs to the scorecards. I believe we could observe numerous knockdowns as well which can help, but I think we readily get over 100+ points combined with both of these men. Let us let everybody else make the mistakes and we could lock at a 100+ points and a win, then we just have to find another 3 wins we are convinced in.
GPP drama of this week — Manny Bermudez ($9,200)
I think that this matchup was set up to get Bermudez a triumph. He has quite a slick submission game and if this fight goes to the ground I think he can pick up advance points fast and find a submission. Grant has had problems with entry defense in his profession and even if he’s winning the feet, he shoots for takedowns every struggle. I believe if Manny can’t get the takedown himself, then Grant will eventually go for it himself and it will cost him. I think we can observe a 1st round entry here which should easily get the 10x+ we’re looking for at his $9.2k price tag.
Underdog play of this week — Shogun Rua ($7,500)
In case Shogun can win this battle he will easily pay off this price . He has 100-point upside and with a $7.5k salary that will certainly place him on the winning lineup if he can arrive. Anthony Smith continues to be pumped out more times than Shogun and has fought much worse rivalry. I would not be surprised if Shogun is able to acquire a KO here against Smith, who’s taking this fight on short notice. Shogun has noticeably slowed down from the past few years but I think he has enough in the tank to possibly pull off an upset victory here. I do want exposure to both men in GPPs, but I think you need some exposure to Rua if you are making numerous lineups.
Fade of the week — Nick Hein ($8,500)
I have a number of fades this week and I am going with a smaller player pool in hopes of my picks being correct and I can hit the ideal combo. It’s tough to choose one favorite fade this week however I will pick Nick Hein. I really do think Nick Hein will win this fight, and I think he’ll use takedowns to get the choice win here. So, you would think that seems great on DraftKings because wrestling stands up things. But, he does not chain together takedowns and that he usually ends up with only 1 or two in his UFC wins. He doesn’t have much completing ability and I don’t see him getting a submission. However, I think we’ll see 2-3 takedowns him and here grinding his way into a Unanimous Decision victory as we have seen from him in the past. Hein has 4 UFC wins and these are his DraftKings game titles for all those wins: 53 points, 58 points, 65 points, and 71 points. At $8.5k, I am not interested in getting any DK investment on Hein with those scores. That’s why he’s my fade of the week.
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