BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we have a card in Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out there for this Fight Night card, and this can be rare for all these free ones. The principal tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be chasing this week. As always, I’m in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. However, this week DraftKings has two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Hotel, flight, and fights all paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entry and the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entrance. I am going to have to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry having a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the greatest prize we have seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to take a few additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week as well as my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your strongest triumph on the card and I think she gets this battle finished early. This is where I’m starting my cash LUs this week. Only give me the -1100 favored who’s being fed up an easy win , for my cash games. I do like a great deal of the top favorites with this particular card, I simply are the most shocked when Souza lost. I believe she is fine in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, therefore money games are the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this win, then find 3 others and you should be good in cash games.
GPP play of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a large Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira enthusiast, and he has some of my own favorites submissions in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This fight appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he could get it then he probably gets a 1st round sub. If this happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the results of this struggle, so that is why he is my GPP play of this week. He’s also my GPP drama of the week, and not my Money play of this week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely quit and get completed himself together with strikes. I don’t like that danger of a low floor for my cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I enjoy saving the $200 and moving down to Do Bronx.
Underdog play of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders more if he was not taking this fight on short notice, and if it wasn’t in Brazil. However he can have a clear path to victory here and that’s by knocking out Santos who doesn’t have a great chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he can win with some tough GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he’s able to acquire the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to work with. I do think that is a good matchup for Anders, but he has to be competitive and not hang out on the exterior. When he hangs out to the exterior as long Santos will consume up him with kisses and it might be a brief night for Anders. I will pick him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional five spots correct as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of the week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if this happens . But I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a $9.2k salary from a guy who does not throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points from Alvey if I roll up him and the only way get gets that is with a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to spend my money in it.
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