BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 1 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight PPV card at Phoenix, Arizona. This is the first ever UFC on big ESPN card and DK has some adequate contests for us with this Sunday card. The main GPP is that a $10 buy-in and $20k belongs to 1st place, also there will be $100k in total prizes. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for this last contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that match. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 50 or so entries at that $20k decoration. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of drama into cash games. With that said, let us get into some plays I like too as my fade of the week: Money Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400) Vicente Luque is the most powerful play on the slate, in my view. I believe he will be the better fighter everywhere this battle moves, and he must predominate. I enjoy locking that triumph in my money match and I think he’s a fantastic chance at getting 10x his $9.4additional salary. I do expect him to become popular in tournaments so if you would like to fade the ownership there and try to become contrarian, I’d definitely need some Luque investment in money games. Barberena is demanding so he could last all 3 rounds and when he does then Luque could score from the 80s which won’t win any GPPs. However, we could work with an ~80-point triumph in cash games because we only have to beat half the field unlike the tournaments. GPP drama of the week — Cain Velasquez ($9,000) Cain Velasquez is my GPP play of the week due to the chances. A little over a week ago he was a -255 favored and that’s what resulted in his elevated $95 price tag. Now he’s only -155 and the value is currently on Ngannou in his $7.2k price tag. I anticipate Ngannou to be the highest owned fighter on the card and when Cain wins then he’ll kill off close to half the area. Also, if Cain wins he is likely scoring over 100-points. I anticipate his ownership to really go down the longer his betting line reduces and that’s what makes him a fantastic GPP play. He’s a 0-point floor, so that I don’t care for him as much in cash game, but for GPPs we want boom or float to try and reach this 1st place prize. Underdog play of the week — Andre Fili ($7,400) Andre Fili is my favorite dog of this week. He is $1,400 less costly than Myles Jury on DraftKings, however he’s only a +125 underdog. I think he’s a good shot of winning this fight and I am choosing him to get his hands raised. I expect this to be a very close battle, but I think Fili will probably be the fighter striking at the greater rate and that is what I think do it for him to the judges’ scorecards. I don’t see Fili with 100+ stage upside but we do not really need that in his $7.4k price tag. I think he has a good shot at getting at 10x, so he is playable in most formats for me personally. Fade of the week — Andrea Lee ($8,900) Andrea Lee is my fade of the week. Not because I believe she will lose, but I think have difficulty seeing her on the $20k lineup at her wages. I enjoy the 9k range much greater than her and all of them have higher ceilings using their grappling-based game plans. Andrea Lee scored well within her UFC debut, but this is because she didn’t utilize grappling there. I don’t see her doing this in this game because I think Evans-Smith has the edge on the floor and she must be the one looking for takedowns. If Lee is going to win this fight, then she is going to have to do it on the toes and I don’t see her with a high ceiling with no finish. The only reason to use her is because she is going to be super low owned, and it will make your lineup , but I wouldn’t advise it. Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below: (Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 57-34 for +188.13un (+$18,813) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 1 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight PPV card at Phoenix, Arizona. This is the very first ever UFC on big ESPN card and DK has some decent competitions for us for this particular Sunday card. The main GPP is that a $10 buy-in and $20k goes to 1st place, also there will be $100k in total prizes. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that final competition and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then toss 50 or so entries at the $20k decoration. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good amount of play into cash games. With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy too as my fade of this week: Cash Game play of the week — Vicente Luque ($9,400) Vicente Luque is your most powerful play on the slate, in my view. I believe he will be the fighter anywhere this fight goes, and he should predominate. I enjoy locking that triumph in my money match and I think he has a fantastic shot at getting 10x his $9.4additional salary. I do expect him to be hot in tournaments so in the event that you would like to fade the possession there and try to be contrarian, I’d definitely want some Luque investment in cash games. Barberena is tough so he could continue all 3 rounds and if he can then Luque could score from the 80s and that will not win any GPPs. However, we could work with an ~80-point win in money games because we only have to conquer half the area unlike the tournaments. GPP play of this week — Cain Velasquez ($9,000) Cain Velasquez is my GPP play of the week because of the chances. A little more than a week ago he had been a -255 favorite and that’s what resulted in his elevated $95 price tag. Now he is only -155 and all the worth is currently on Ngannou at his $7.2k price label. I anticipate Ngannou are the greatest owned fighter on the card and if Cain wins then he’ll kill off near half the field. Also, if Cain wins he’s likely scoring over 100-points. I anticipate his ownership to go down the longer his betting line decreases and that’s what makes him a great GPP play. He’s a 0-point flooring, so that I don’t care for him as much in money game, however for GPPs we want boom or bust to try and get to this 1st place prize. Underdog drama of the week — Andre Fili ($7,400) Andre Fili is my favourite dog of this week. He is $1,400 less costly than Myles Jury on DraftKings, but he’s just a +125 underdog. I believe he has a fantastic chance of winning this battle and I am choosing him to get his hand raised. I anticipate this to be an extremely close fight, but I think Fili will probably be the fighter striking at the higher rate and that’s precisely what I believe gets it done for him to the judges’ scorecards. I don’t see Fili having 100+ stage upside down but we do not really need that at his $7.4k price tag. I believe he has a good shot at getting at least 10x, so he is playable in most formats for me personally. Fade of the week — Andrea Lee ($8,900) Andrea Lee is my fade of this week. Not because I think she will lose, but I believe have difficulty seeing her on the 20k lineup in her wages. I like the 9k range much more than her and they all have higher ceilings with their grappling-based match plans. Andrea Lee scored well in her UFC introduction, but this is because she did utilize grappling there. I don’t see her doing this in this match because I presume Evans-Smith has got the edge on the ground and she must be the one looking for takedowns. If Lee is going to win this battle, then she’s going to need to get it done on the feet and I really don’t see her having a high ceiling with no finish. The only reason to utilize her is because she will be super low owned, and it will create your lineup contrarian, but I wouldn’t advise it. Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below: (Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 57-34 to get +188.13un (+$18,813) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

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