BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 4 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight card at Kansas on ESPN+. DraftKings has some strong contests considering that is a free card and that I look forward to pursuing the GPPs. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I won my very first chair into it a couple weeks ago and I will try to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, then I will probably take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good amount of play into money games. With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week: Cash Game play of this week — Yana Kunitskaya — $8,900 There really aren’t any cash game locks this week for me personally but I moved with Yana since I fully expect this fight to go all 3 rounds so I enjoy the ground she brings to the table. In addition, I think she wins the fight and I believe she is going to be the fighter going for takedowns. I really don’t know how large her ceiling is in money games it doesn’t really matter too much since we do not have to hit 1st place in a double-up. I would expect about 10x from Yana at a decision win and I will take that all day in my money games. GPP drama of this week — Louis Smolka — $8,300 Smolka fights often score highly because there are a lot of scrambles and the grappling improvements really add up. I anticipate this is a really fun battle, but it should be Smolka that is the one going for the takedowns. I am always looking for a minimum of 10x from my fighters and also at $8.3k I’d be shocked if Smolka didn’t get that with a triumph. The lowest he has ever scored in a win is 99 DK points and he’s scored 162 vs Nguyen and he’s got a 61-point reduction to Elliott that’s more DK points than Schnell’s triumph over Beltran. I love Smolka as a GPP play here and when he wins I’d anticipate near 100 DK points. Play of the week — Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos — $8,000 To get a fight I hope to remain standing, I’ve quite a bit of interest in this struggle. I think it’s going to be an action-packed struggle and I think somebody gets knocked out. This is also the mid-range fight of the week, so I think a KO from either guy would have a fantastic chance to set them on the perfect lineup. I enjoy it more because I am picking the underdog to get the knockout and I expect Millender to be the higher owned fighter. I will have this struggle in over half of my lineups, but I shall probably have at least double the ownership on dos Santos over Millender. I believe it’s a better GPP fight than it is for cash games, but I believe dos Santos is in play for money since he’s an underdog and that I have him winning. I really don’t feel confident in several underdogs this week, but I will have a fantastic amount of exposure to dos Santos. Fade of this week — Anthony Rocco Martin ($9,200) At $9.2K. Martin will require a finish at the salary and that I don’t see that happening. If he wins a definite 30-27 decision, he then probably scores mid 70’s and in his cost that won’t win anybody a GPP. I don’t think he moves for takedowns in this matchup and I think he uses his wrestling to help keep the fight standing. Even if he does move for takedowns then I don’t see him filing Moraes. So, it needs to be a KO from him to pay off that salary and I am not willing to take that risk with my cash. That is why he’s my fade of this week. Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below: (Premium bets are available at that link as well. I am 61-37 to get +209.69 (+$20,969) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 4 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight card at Kansas on ESPN+. DraftKings has some solid contests considering this is a free card and I look forward to pursuing the GPPs. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I won my first chair into it a few weeks back and I will attempt to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k decoration, then I will likely have a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of drama into cash games. With that said, let’s get into a few plays I like this week along with my fade of this week: Cash Game play of the week — Yana Kunitskaya — $8,900 There actually aren’t any money game locks this week for me but I moved with Yana since I fully expect this battle to go all 3 rounds so that I enjoy the ground she brings to the table. In addition, I think she wins the battle and I believe she will be the fighter heading for takedowns. I don’t know how large her ceiling is but in cash games it does not really matter a lot because we do not need to strike 1st place in a double-up. I would expect about 10x from Yana at a decision win and I’ll take that all day in my money games. GPP drama of this week — Louis Smolka — $8,300 Smolka struggles often score highly because there are a lot of scrambles and all the grappling improvements really add up. I anticipate this is a really fun battle, but it ought to be Smolka that is the one going for the takedowns. I’m always looking for no less than 10x in my fighters and at $8.3k I would be amazed if Smolka didn’t get that with a win. The lowest he’s ever scored in a win is 99 DK points and he’s even scored 162 vs Nguyen and he has a 61-point loss to Elliott that is more DK points than Schnell’s win over Beltran. I love Smolka as a GPP drama here and when he wins I’d expect near 100 DK points. Underdog play of the week — Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos — $8,000 For a fight that I hope to remain standing, I’ve quite a lot of interest in this fight. I believe it’s going to be an action-packed struggle and I think somebody gets knocked out. This is likewise the mid-range fight of this week, so that I feel a KO from either guy would have a good opportunity to set them on the perfect lineup. I like it more because I’m choosing the underdog to acquire the knockout and that I expect Millender to be the greater owned fighter. I’ll have this fight in more than half of my lineups, but I will most likely have at least twice the ownership on dos Santos over Millender. I believe it’s a better GPP fight than it is for cash games, but I believe dos Santos is in play for cash since he is an underdog and that I have him winning. I don’t feel confident in several underdogs this week, but I will have a fantastic amount of vulnerability to dos Santos. Fade of the week — Anthony Rocco Martin ($9,200) At $9.2K. Martin will require a finish at the wages and that I really don’t see that occurring. When he wins a definite 30-27 decision, he then likely scores mid 70’s and in his cost which won’t win anybody a GPP. I really don’t think he moves for takedowns in this matchup and I believe he uses his wrestling to keep the fight standing. Even if he does go for takedowns then I do not see him filing Moraes. So, it needs to be a KO out of him to pay off that salary and I am not inclined to take that risk with my cash. That is why he’s my fade of the week. Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below: (Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 61-37 for +209.69 (+$20,969) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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