BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 31 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight card Milwaukee which is going to be the last UFC on FOX card on account of the brand new ESPN deal. We’re back to getting smaller prize pools for this occasion but there is still good money to be won. The most important GPP is a $10 entrance with $15,000 to 1st place. Those big GPPs with a wonderful high trophy are always my favourite contests to pursue so I will be taking some shots at that. Aside from that, I will stick to my 3-entry maximum & single entry GPPs. I will also be picking up H2Hs throughout the week and that I will get a fantastic quantity of play in games. Listed below are a Couple of plays I like for Saturday and my fade of this week: Money Game play of the week — Kevin Lee ($9,000) The main event is almost always the best struggle to enter money games and stacking both fighters out of a 5-round battle usually makes a lot of sense. I think you can stack the most important event here too, but I think Kevin Lee is your must play of both. He’s a -335 favorite and -135 ITD so if he wins he’s going to score highly and according to Vegas he has a 77% chance of winning. In addition, he scored 164 DK points in his last fight so not only does he even have a top ground, but he probably has the highest ceiling on the card too. That is where I will be starting my cash lineup this week. GPP drama of the week — Jared Gordon ($8,600) After weigh-ins we found a lot of money come in on Joaquim Silva and this fight is almost a PK battle on the betting odds today. Usually when that happens we see the ownership on DraftKings follow suit and also the underdog gains ownership because of the value. I believe Gordon’s possession will go down because of this and that is what makes him a fantastic GPP play. Gordon strikes in the highest pace on the card landing 6.68 sig strikes per minute. He also lands 3.41 takedowns each 15-minutes. He doesn’t even need a finish to score 100+ points and that’s the reason why I like him in this spot. I am not guaranteeing a win by any means, but when he can win then he must score well. Underdog drama of the week — Mike Rodriguez ($7,500) Mike Rodriguez is 1,200 cheaper than Adam Milstead in this matchup, but he is just +115 compared to Milstead’s -135 gaming lineup. I adore the value we’re getting there, and that I believe Rodriguez wins this fight. I really do expect him to become one of the most popular underdogs on the card, but it is chalk I am willing to eat. IF Rodriquez does win then it is probably going to be so not just would he have the win, but he would score highly too. I believe if he can win this fight then he ends up on the 1st place lineup and he is my favourite underdog of this week for that reason. Fade of this week — Drakkar Klose ($9,300) I am not fading Klose since I think he loses, I’m actually picking him to acquire a Unanimous Conclusion. I’m fading him because he’s $9.3k and together with his fighting style I don’t see him getting over 10x that wages. If I am making 20 lineups this weekend Klose will be in 0 of them. Klose has 3 UFC wins so much in his career and he’s scored 63, 68, and 74 DK points in those 3 wins. When he scores around that region again in this fight, then that pretty much kills your odds in winning a GPP because the other men in that $9k range probably score higher and likely even over 100-points. This makes Klose my fade of this week. If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each fight, my private approaches & suggestions, and also my pick prediction for every fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below: (Premium stakes are available at that link too. I’m 47-28 for +169.81un (+$16,981) since May 19th on Premium Plays. I’m also +75.37u the last 7 weeks!)

Add a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 31 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight card in Milwaukee that will be the last UFC on FOX card due to the new ESPN deal. We are back to getting smaller prize pools for this event but there is still good money to be won. The most important GPP is a $10 entrance with $15,000 to 1st place. Those huge GPPs with a nice top trophy are always my favorite contests to chase so I’ll be shooting some shots in that. Aside from that, I will adhere to my 3-entry maximum & single entry GPPs. I will also be picking up H2Hs throughout the week and I will get a good quantity of play in cash games. Here are a Couple of plays I like for Saturday and my fade of this week: Cash Game play of the week — Kevin Lee ($9,000) The main event is almost always the best fight to enter money games and stacking both fighters out of a 5-round battle usually makes a whole lot of sense. I believe that you can pile the most important event here as well, but I believe Kevin Lee is your must play of both. He is a -335 favorite and -135 ITD so if he wins he’s going to score highly and according to Vegas he’s a 77% probability of winning. In addition, he scored 164 DK points in his last fight so not only does he possess a high floor, but he probably has the maximum ceiling on the card as well. This is where I’ll be starting my money lineup this week. GPP play of this week — Jared Gordon ($8,600) Following weigh-ins we saw a lot of cash come in on Joaquim Silva and this fight is almost a PK fight on the betting odds today. Usually when that happens we see the possession on DraftKings follow suit and also the underdog gains ownership because of the value. I think Gordon’s ownership will go down due to that and that is what makes him a good GPP play. Gordon strikes at the maximum pace on the card landing 6.68 sig strikes per minute. He also lands 3.41 takedowns per 15-minutes. He doesn’t even need a end to score 100+ points and that is why I enjoy him in this spot. I am not guaranteeing a win by any means, but if he does win then he should score well. Underdog drama of this week — Mike Rodriguez ($7,500) Mike Rodriguez is $1,200 cheaper than Adam Milstead in this matchup, but he is only +115 compared to Milstead’s -135 gaming lineup. I love the value we’re getting there, and I believe Rodriguez wins this fight. I do expect him to become among the very well-known underdogs on the card, however it is chalk I am prepared to eat. IF Rodriquez does win then it is likely going to be so not only would he have the triumph, but he’d score highly too. I think if he does win this battle he then ends up on the 1st area lineup and he’s my favorite underdog of the week because of this. Fade of this week — Drakkar Klose ($9,300) I am not fading Klose since I think he loses, I am actually picking him to acquire a Unanimous Decision here. I’m fading him since he’s $9.3k and together with his fighting style I don’t see him becoming more than 10x that wages. If I am making 20 lineups this weekend Klose will probably be in 0 of them. Klose has 3 UFC wins so far in his career and he has scored 63, 68, and 74 DK points in those 3 wins. When he scores around that region again in this fight, then that pretty much kills your chances at winning a GPP because the other men because $9k range probably score higher and probably even over 100-points. This makes Klose my fade of this week. If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on every struggle, my private strategies & recommendations, and my pick prediction for every fight then it is possible to discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below: (Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 47-28 for +169.81u (+$16,981) because May 19th on Premium Plays. I am also +75.37u the last 7 weeks!)

Add a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *