UFC Rematch Betting Strategy & Statistics

Rematches are not rare in the realm of mixed martial arts. If a fighter sticks round the organization for a significant length of time, then you can be assured that they’ll be scheduled to battle an opponent they’ve already faced at some point or another. On top of this, most dominant winners will constantly possess a rematch or 2 solely because of running out of new opponents to face in their weight class. Whenever these rematches take place, just how do you bet them? In the event you bet about the fighter who won the battle? Is your underdog the right play? That’s a question I wished to reply so I brought up some data on the subject. Since UFC 1, when fighters have faced??each other to get a repeat bout, the winner of their preceding fight has gone 71-43-3 in the rematch. This usually means the winner is victorious in 62% of rematch??struggles. If you are looking to wager on MMA or the UFC, check our listing of the Very Best Sites To Do Precisely That. To be able to utilize these amounts to our entire benefit as bettors, we will need to dive right into them a bit deeper. Our database for fight odds goes back into 2012, thus we’ll use from then until present day (August 9,??2019) as our sample size for favorites and underdogs. Fighters who won the very first fight walked??to the rematch as a betting favorite??36??times from a total of 60??rematches since 2012, winning 28??of these battles (77.7??percent??win rate). While that’s an extremely high success rate, the profit from such types of fights isn’t quite as big as you might??imagine given that the simple fact that a decent portion of the fighters??would’ve been favorites by a substantial margin. $100 bettors would’ve walked away with a profit of $377.64??if they blindly bet on the fighter that won the former bout when they had been listed as the favorite??in the next battle all 36??times that occurred. The most significant (and profitable) statistic I found was that the fighter who won the first bout??won 14??from 24??rematches when they had been recorded as a underdog, providing $100 bettors a gain of $1,013.46. Overall, because 2012,??should you wager $100 on the fighter who won the very first battle when they competed at a rematch, you would’ve gained a gain of 1,391.10. History tends to repeat itself, and UFC rematches aren’t any exception to this rule. Bettors are able to look in UFC 210 as a prime illustration of this as Daniel Cormier went into his rematch with Anthony Johnson as a +115 underdog even though winning their first fight. He won in lopsided fashion via submission. Rose Namajunas was also an underdog in EVEN money going right into her UFC 223 rematch with Joanna Jedrzejczyk and went on to triumph in a convincing unanimous decision. While the figures show that gambling on the fighter that won the first fight if they rematch an opponent is profitable, the whole opposite can clearly be stated about gambling on fighters in a rematch bout who lost the very first competition. Favorites in rematches if they lost the first fight are 10-14, dropping $100 bettors that a total of 926.21. Underdogs in rematches when they dropped the first battle are 8-28, losing $100 bettors that a total of 979. In other words betting statistics into terms as simple as you can, you can feel secure gambling on a fighter once they take on somebody whom they have already beaten. Whether they’re recorded as favorites or maybe not, you will eventually gain a profit long term executing this strategy. Not many rematches are made equal. There are some fights that never ought to be fought a second??time, or perhaps a third??period in some instances *ahem*BJ Penn vs Frankie Edgar*ahem*. To take these conflicts from the equation, for curiosity’s sake??I wanted to consider the amounts when choosing ONLY name struggles into consideration. For the fight to fall under this group, both the first battle and the rematch needed to have been to get the buckle. The all-time record for the former winner heading right into a title fight rematch is 25-10. Since 2012, previous winners in battles for the title are 17-3, netting $100 bettors a profit of $725.20. These numbers certainly do nothing but further the purpose that betting on the former winner heading right into a rematch is a intelligent play, so don’t hesitate to apply this approach moving ahead in the event you want to win any cash.

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